The MIRI reading list flags this report as outdated and suggests updating it as an intermediate project. Gather what has changed in Chinese language models since it was written.
Policy debates about the US–China AI race often rest on stale facts. A careful, sourced update is directly useful.
Output: An updated dataset and short report.
Read the original report and list every claim and data point.
Skim recent issues of the ChinAI newsletter and Epoch AI’s data to find what has changed.
Rebuild the key tables with up-to-date entries and sources.
Write what changed, what stayed the same, and what you could not verify.
Ask someone who follows Chinese AI for feedback before publishing.
All steps done
Share what you made, then try another project. The PDF version has room for notes.
Download Epoch AI’s free dataset of notable AI models, chart training compute over time in Python, estimate how fast it grows, and count how many models cross the EU AI Act’s compute threshold.
Could algorithmic progress continue under a compute halt? Catalogue the innovations in a major model paper and estimate the compute used in the experiments behind each, extending published MIRI TGT work.
Export controls target data-centre chips. But consumer hardware keeps getting better, and frontier-level performance reaches it within about a year. Update the analysis with the latest hardware.
