PolicyPhilosophyGovernanceA few weeksIntermediateFree

Early warning signs of gradual disempowerment

Kulveit et al. argue AI could slowly erode human influence over the economy, culture and the state. Propose three measurable indicators for each domain using public data, and say which would warn us earliest.

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Why it matters

A slow loss of influence is hard to notice without good measures. Indicators turn an abstract worry into something we can track.

Output: An indicator table with a short essay on which indicators measure real loss of influence and which only measure automation.

Getting started

0 of 5 done
  1. Define exactly the quantity you want to estimate.

  2. Find the data sources and note their limits.

  3. Do a rough back-of-envelope version first.

  4. Refine the input you are least sure about.

  5. Present one clear chart and a sentence on uncertainty.

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What would count as an AI “warning shot”?

Will society respond to early AI accidents the way it should? Collect historical warning shots from other technologies and analyse which ones actually changed policy.

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